Tyler Shough vs Sam Darnold
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB21
Tyler Shough
184.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB23
Sam Darnold
176.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Tyler Shough: a clear but modest edge of 8.0 points of value over replacement (-67.8 vs -75.8).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Shough goes first at ADP 135.1 vs 143.4 for Sam Darnold.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Sam DarnoldSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 184.0 | 176.0 | Shough +8.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.8 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -67.8 | -75.8 | Shough +8.0 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #171 | Shough by 9 |
| Position rank | QB21 | QB23 | |
| Market ADP | 135.1 | 143.4 | Darnold +8.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 184.0 fantasy points with -67.8 value over replacement, vs 176.0 points and -75.8 for Sam Darnold (QB, PPR).