WR projections.

Machine learning wide receiver projections for 2026 fantasy football.

#	Player	Tm	Age	Rec	Yds	TD	QB	Proj Pts
1	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	26	93	1164	7.2	Joe Burrow	325.5
2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	24	95	1239	7.7	Sam Darnold	299.0
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	27	88	1100	7.1	Jared Goff	275.2
4	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	27	69	920	5.7	Dak Prescott	248.9
5	Drake London	ATL	25	75	977	5.9	Michael Penix	246.3
6	George Pickens	DAL	25	76	1016	6.7	Dak Prescott	237.7
7	Justin Jefferson	MIN	27	67	830	4.5	J.J. McCarthy	235.9
8	Puka Nacua	LAR	25	98	1259	8.1	Matthew Stafford	234.7
9	Nico Collins	HOU	27	68	923	5.8	C.J. Stroud	233.6
10	Zay Flowers	BAL	26	76	991	6.2	Lamar Jackson	230.3
11	A.J. Brown	NWE	29	68	908	5.7	Drake Maye	229.4
12	Chris Olave	NOR	26	73	952	5.5	Tyler Shough	224.3
13	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	23	66	892	5.9	Bryce Young	214.3
14	Malik Nabers	NYG	23	60	844	5.1	Jaxson Dart	214.0
15	Tee Higgins	CIN	27	64	866	5.7	Joe Burrow	206.8
16	Rashee Rice	KAN	26	65	729	4.3	Patrick Mahomes	205.6
17	Emeka Egbuka	TAM	24	61	827	5.4	Baker Mayfield	199.0
18	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	26	63	790	4.4	Justin Fields	197.0
19	Ladd McConkey	LAC	25	61	779	5.0	Justin Herbert	193.2
20	Jameson Williams	DET	25	62	858	5.8	Jared Goff	192.8
21	Christian Watson	GNB	27	48	743	5.2	Jordan Love	181.1
22	Rome Odunze	CHI	24	57	802	5.2	Caleb Williams	177.1
23	Parker Washington	JAX	24	51	699	4.4	Trevor Lawrence	177.1
24	Brian Thomas	JAX	24	56	801	5.0	Trevor Lawrence	173.9
25	D.J. Moore	BUF	29	53	676	4.0	Josh Allen	172.6
26	D.K. Metcalf	PIT	29	58	749	4.4	Aaron Rodgers	172.3
27	Marvin Harrison Jr.	HOU	24	54	758	4.6	Jacoby Brissett	170.0
28	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	25	73	886	5.0	Cam Ward	168.7
29	Courtland Sutton	DEN	31	59	790	4.9	Bo Nix	167.6
30	Luther Burden	CHI	23	48	564	3.7	Caleb Williams	165.4
31	Stefon Diggs	WAS	33	58	689	4.4	Drake Maye	160.1
32	DeVonta Smith	PHI	28	63	820	5.1	Jalen Hurts	159.5
33	Quentin Johnston	LAC	25	58	776	5.1	Justin Herbert	156.1
34	Mike Evans	SFO	33	43	573	3.4	Brock Purdy	155.6
35	Carnell Tate	TEN	-	-	-	-	-	155.5
36	Jordan Addison	MIN	24	49	671	4.0	J.J. McCarthy	148.1
37	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	28	58	783	4.8	Bo Nix	146.0
38	Josh Downs	KAN	25	55	640	3.8	Daniel Jones	145.9
39	Xavier Worthy	KAN	23	53	692	3.9	Patrick Mahomes	140.2
40	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	30	54	632	3.5	Trevor Lawrence	138.4
41	Khalil Shakir	BUF	26	63	690	4.2	Josh Allen	138.1
42	Matthew Golden	GNB	23	38	513	3.3	Jordan Love	137.6
43	Chris Godwin	TAM	30	45	484	2.8	Baker Mayfield	136.2
44	Jalen Coker	CAR	25	43	530	3.5	Bryce Young	136.1
45	Kayshon Boutte	HOU	24	49	755	5.4	Drake Maye	127.7
46	Tre Tucker	LVR	25	56	704	3.9	Geno Smith	127.2
47	Deebo Samuel	SFO	30	52	539	2.8	Marcus Mariota	126.5
48	Travis Hunter	JAX	23	47	557	3.5	Trevor Lawrence	126.3
49	Jordyn Tyson	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	115.8
50	Keenan Allen	SFO	34	51	596	3.6	Justin Herbert	115.1
51	Makai Lemon	PHI	-	-	-	-	-	115.1
52	KC Concepcion	CLE	-	-	-	-	-	115.1
53	Omar Cooper Jr.	NYJ	-	-	-	-	-	112.3
54	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	28	42	534	3.0	Sam Darnold	111.8
55	Denzel Boston	CLE	-	-	-	-	-	110.2
56	Germie Bernard	PIT	-	-	-	-	-	110.2
57	DeMario Douglas	NWE	26	44	548	3.5	Drake Maye	107.5
58	Cooper Kupp	SEA	33	41	429	2.4	Sam Darnold	101.3
59	Malachi Fields	NYG	-	-	-	-	-	97.0
60	Jalen Nailor	LVR	27	31	403	2.2	Geno Smith	94.0
61	Jauan Jennings	MIN	29	58	747	4.8	J.J. McCarthy	92.2
62	Antonio Williams	WAS	-	-	-	-	-	90.3
63	Zachariah Branch	ATL	-	-	-	-	-	90.3
64	Ja'Kobi Lane	BAL	-	-	-	-	-	90.3
65	Jahan Dotson	ATL	26	27	420	2.5	Michael Penix	87.8
66	Dontayvion Wicks	PHI	25	40	526	3.4	Jalen Hurts	86.6
67	Caleb Douglas	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	85.1
68	Troy Franklin	DEN	23	52	689	4.3	Bo Nix	85.1
69	Kaden Wetjen	PIT	-	-	-	-	-	81.5
70	Chris Bell	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	81.4
71	Brenen Thompson	LAC	-	-	-	-	-	81.1
72	Keon Coleman	BUF	23	47	630	4.4	Josh Allen	80.3
73	KaVontae Turpin	DAL	30	29	333	1.9	Dak Prescott	80.1
74	Tutu Atwell	LAR	27	27	416	2.8	Tua Tagovailoa	78.6
75	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	27	48	621	3.3	Shedeur Sanders	78.1
76	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	23	45	613	3.6	Cam Ward	77.6
77	Elijah Sarratt	BAL	-	-	-	-	-	77.0
78	Skyler Bell	BUF	-	-	-	-	-	77.0
79	Ted Hurst	TAM	-	-	-	-	-	76.7
80	Tyreek Hill	MIA	32	47	616	3.6	Tua Tagovailoa	76.2
81	Zavion Thomas	CHI	-	-	-	-	-	75.9
82	Kalif Raymond	CHI	32	26	227	1.3	Caleb Williams	72.2
83	Demarcus Robinson	SFO	32	24	352	2.3	Brock Purdy	71.0
84	Savion Williams	GNB	25	27	172	1.1	Jordan Love	70.3
85	Marquise Brown	PHI	29	42	534	3.5	Jalen Hurts	69.7
86	Reggie Virgil	ARI	-	-	-	-	-	69.6
87	Barion Brown	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	69.2
88	Emmanuel Henderson Jr.	SEA	-	-	-	-	-	69.2
89	Josh Cameron	JAX	-	-	-	-	-	69.0
90	Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	26	31	368	2.1	C.J. Stroud	68.9
91	Kevin Coleman Jr.	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	68.3
92	Colbie Young	CIN	-	-	-	-	-	66.1
93	Luke McCaffrey	WAS	25	28	350	2.3	Marcus Mariota	65.9
94	Konata Mumpfield	LAR	24	21	281	2.2	Matthew Stafford	65.4
95	Cyrus Allen	KAN	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
96	CJ Daniels	LAR	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
97	CJ Williams	JAX	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
98	Lewis Bond	HOU	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
99	Anthony Smith	DAL	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
100	Chimere Dike	TEN	25	42	461	2.4	Cam Ward	64.0
101	Ryan Flournoy	DAL	27	40	460	3.1	Dak Prescott	63.9
102	Deion Burks	IND	-	-	-	-	-	63.6
103	Tez Johnson	TAM	24	35	453	3.2	Baker Mayfield	63.5
104	Olamide Zaccheaus	ATL	29	33	344	2.0	Michael Penix	62.8
105	Darnell Mooney	NYG	29	35	497	2.7	Jaxson Dart	62.7
106	Mack Hollins	NWE	33	36	478	3.1	Drake Maye	62.7
107	Bryce Lance	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	62.6
108	Malik Benson	LVR	-	-	-	-	-	62.6
109	Darius Slayton	IND	29	35	462	2.6	Jaxson Dart	62.5
110	Marvin Mims	DEN	24	40	455	2.5	Bo Nix	62.1
111	Malik Washington	MIA	25	43	419	2.1	Tua Tagovailoa	61.4
112	Jalen Tolbert	MIA	27	30	408	2.5	Tua Tagovailoa	60.5
113	Rashod Bateman	BAL	27	32	447	3.1	Lamar Jackson	60.4
114	Tory Horton	SEA	24	32	462	3.5	Sam Darnold	60.3
115	Darius Cooper	PHI	25	22	245	1.7	Jalen Hurts	59.7
116	Pat Bryant	DEN	24	35	417	2.7	Bo Nix	59.3
117	Adonai Mitchell	NYJ	24	31	462	2.7	Joe Flacco	59.0
118	Josh Palmer	BUF	27	33	447	3.0	Josh Allen	59.0
119	Isaac TeSlaa	DET	24	31	445	3.6	Jared Goff	58.8
120	Theo Wease	LAC	25	31	429	3.2	Tua Tagovailoa	58.4
121	Dont'e Thornton	LVR	24	18	320	1.9	Geno Smith	58.4
122	Isaiah Bond	CLE	22	25	431	2.4	Shedeur Sanders	57.1
123	John Metchie	CAR	26	28	247	1.4	Joe Flacco	55.9
124	Tre Harris	LAC	24	34	381	2.4	Justin Herbert	55.5
125	JuJu Smith-Schuster	KAN	30	28	250	1.3	Patrick Mahomes	54.2
126	Calvin Ridley	TEN	32	29	389	2.0	Cam Ward	53.4
127	Jahdae Walker	CHI	24	19	276	2.5	Caleb Williams	52.7
128	Elijah Moore	PHI	26	30	348	2.2	Jalen Hurts	52.5
129	Gabriel Davis	BUF	27	31	357	2.6	Josh Allen	52.4
130	Greg Dortch	BUF	28	35	266	1.2	Jared Goff	51.4
131	Cedric Tillman	NOR	26	29	359	1.9	Shedeur Sanders	50.6
132	Devaughn Vele	NOR	29	30	364	2.0	Tyler Shough	50.4
133	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	DEN	28	20	220	1.2	Bo Nix	49.7
134	Sterling Shepard	NYJ	33	32	327	1.7	Baker Mayfield	47.6
135	DeAndre Hopkins	BAL	34	26	352	2.2	Lamar Jackson	47.6
136	Jack Bech	LVR	24	28	312	1.6	Geno Smith	47.1
137	Xavier Smith	LAR	29	21	366	2.5	Matthew Stafford	46.7
138	Isaiah Williams	NYJ	25	30	233	1.0	Justin Fields	45.6
139	Treylon Burks	WAS	26	22	294	1.8	Marcus Mariota	44.6
140	Van Jefferson	WAS	30	25	298	1.4	Marcus Mariota	42.3
141	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	LAC	25	17	298	2.2	Justin Herbert	42.1
142	Kevin Austin	NOR	26	22	232	1.6	Tyler Shough	42.0
143	Jimmy Horn	CLE	24	23	211	1.3	Bryce Young	41.6
144	Hunter Renfrow	CAR	31	27	243	1.6	Bryce Young	41.4
145	Tyler Johnson	NYJ	28	20	254	1.3	Dak Prescott	40.7
146	Casey Washington	CAR	25	15	291	2.0	Michael Penix	40.0
147	Mitchell Tinsley	CIN	27	15	264	2.0	Joe Burrow	39.9
148	Isaiah Hodgins	PIT	28	22	244	1.5	Jaxson Dart	38.9
149	Noah Brown	WAS	30	22	241	1.3	Marcus Mariota	37.9
150	Jalin Hyatt	NYG	25	14	277	1.8	Jaxson Dart	36.6
151	Brycen Tremayne	CAR	27	21	218	1.3	Bryce Young	36.5
152	Josh Reynolds	NYJ	31	20	230	0.9	Justin Fields	35.5
153	Zay Jones	ARI	31	18	232	1.3	Jacoby Brissett	34.7
154	Brandin Cooks	SFO	33	18	229	1.1	Joe Flacco	34.5
155	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	IND	29	17	153	1.1	Daniel Jones	34.3
156	Tim Patrick	NYJ	33	17	200	1.4	Justin Fields	34.2
157	David Sills V	TAM	30	16	190	1.1	Michael Penix	34.1
158	Allen Lazard	NYJ	31	21	170	0.7	Justin Fields	33.0
159	Tyler Lockett	LVR	34	20	179	0.7	Joe Flacco	32.7
160	Ashton Dulin	IND	29	13	201	1.2	Daniel Jones	32.5
161	Dante Pettis	SFO	31	20	184	0.6	Tyler Shough	31.5
162	Austin Trammell	JAX	28	11	160	1.4	Trevor Lawrence	30.5
163	Jamari Thrash	LVR	26	19	128	0.5	Shedeur Sanders	29.7
164	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	PIT	32	16	181	0.9	Dak Prescott	29.6
165	Malachi Corley	CLE	24	24	77	0.0	Shedeur Sanders	29.3
166	Dylan Drummond	ATL	26	18	131	0.7	Michael Penix	28.9
167	Mason Tipton	NOR	26	22	231	0.9	Tyler Shough	28.2
168	Chris Moore	BAL	33	8	134	0.8	Marcus Mariota	28.0
169	Gage Larvadain	BAL	24	12	93	0.5	Shedeur Sanders	26.9
170	Scott Miller	CHI	29	16	84	0.2	Caleb Williams	24.7
171	Adam Thielen	MIN	36	13	103	0.2	Joe Flacco	24.1
172	James Proche	ARI	30	10	127	0.5	Cam Ward	23.2
173	KhaDarel Hodge	SFO	31	3	74	0.3	Michael Penix	20.4
174	Michael Wilson	ARI	26	63	828	4.9	Jacoby Brissett	0.0
175	Davante Adams	LAR	34	61	810	5.5	Matthew Stafford	0.0
176	Alec Pierce	IND	26	52	822	5.4	Daniel Jones	0.0
177	Romeo Doubs	NWE	26	54	733	4.8	Drake Maye	0.0
178	Michael Pittman Jr.	PIT	29	59	697	4.3	Aaron Rodgers	0.0
179	Ricky Pearsall	SFO	26	47	666	4.2	Brock Purdy	0.0
180	Terry McLaurin	WAS	31	46	637	3.6	Marcus Mariota	0.0
181	Jayden Higgins	HOU	24	44	581	4.0	C.J. Stroud	0.0
182	Xavier Legette	CAR	25	42	525	3.3	Bryce Young	0.0
183	Tyquan Thornton	KAN	26	24	578	4.3	Patrick Mahomes	0.0
184	Jayden Reed	GNB	26	39	450	2.9	Jordan Love	0.0
185	Calvin Austin III	NYG	27	37	480	2.8	Jaxson Dart	0.0
186	Jalen McMillan	TAM	25	36	461	3.1	Baker Mayfield	0.0
187	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	27	34	446	2.8	Joe Burrow	0.0
188	Kyle Williams	NWE	24	24	452	3.6	Drake Maye	0.0
189	Kendrick Bourne	ARI	31	30	393	2.5	Jacoby Brissett	0.0
190	Jaylin Noel	HOU	24	32	377	2.5	C.J. Stroud	0.0
191	Christian Kirk	SFO	30	30	312	1.9	Brock Purdy	0.0
192	Dyami Brown	WAS	27	23	330	2.2	Marcus Mariota	0.0
193	Tyrell Shavers	BUF	27	24	351	2.4	Josh Allen	0.0
194	Jordan Whittington	LAR	26	27	284	1.7	Matthew Stafford	0.0
195	Jaylin Lane	WAS	24	23	324	1.9	Marcus Mariota	0.0
196	Roman Wilson	PIT	25	24	316	2.1	Aaron Rodgers	0.0
197	Xavier Weaver	ARI	26	16	230	1.3	Jacoby Brissett	0.0
198	Arian Smith	NYJ	25	15	208	0.9	Justin Fields	0.0
199	Ray-Ray McCloud	CHI	30	19	111	0.5	Joe Flacco	0.0
200	Gunner Olszewski	NYG	30	16	134	0.6	Jaxson Dart	0.0
201	De'Zhaun Stribling	SFO	-	-	-	-	-	0.0
202	Chris Brazzell II	CAR	-	-	-	-	-	0.0
203	Kendrick Law	DET	-	-	-	-	-	0.0

Proj Pts is our 2026 projection: the model blended daily with live market ADP, so the order reflects both. Rec, Yds, and TD are the model's projected 2026 components; QB is the passer context it weighed. Dashes mark rookies and returning players priced from market data alone.

How we project wide receiver performance

Our WR projection model uses ElasticNet regression with QB context features. Target share is the single strongest predictor of year-over-year wide receiver fantasy production, followed by age and QB quality metrics. The model incorporates the quarterback's passer rating and passing volume to capture the effect of offensive environment on receiver production.

Two-year target share trends and age curves help identify breakout candidates and players likely to decline. WRs in their age 24–27 window with rising target shares are the model's strongest positive signals.

Wide Receiver projection FAQ

Who are the top fantasy wide receivers for 2026?

According to our machine learning model trained on 16 seasons (2010-2025) of NFL data, the top 2026 fantasy wide receivers are: 1. Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) with 325.5 projected fantasy points; 2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) with 299.0 projected fantasy points; 3. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) with 275.2 projected fantasy points; 4. CeeDee Lamb (DAL) with 248.9 projected fantasy points; 5. Drake London (ATL) with 246.3 projected fantasy points.

When should I draft a wide receiver in 2026 fantasy football?

Target elite wide receivers in rounds 1–3 alongside RBs. In PPR formats, top WRs compete with RBs for overall VBD value. The position has excellent depth, but the elite tier (top 5–8 WRs) separates significantly from the rest. In 3-WR leagues, prioritize WRs even higher.