WR projections.

Machine learning wide receiver projections for 2026 fantasy football.

#	Player	Tm	Age	Rec	Yds	TD	QB	Proj Pts
1	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	26	93	1164	7.2	Joe Burrow	325.5
2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	24	95	1239	7.7	Sam Darnold	303.2
3	Puka Nacua	LAR	25	98	1259	8.1	Matthew Stafford	302.8
4	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	27	88	1100	7.1	Jared Goff	275.2
5	Nico Collins	HOU	27	68	923	5.8	C.J. Stroud	271.8
6	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	27	69	920	5.7	Dak Prescott	248.9
7	Drake London	ATL	25	75	977	5.9	Michael Penix	246.3
8	George Pickens	DAL	25	76	1016	6.7	Dak Prescott	242.5
9	A.J. Brown	NWE	29	68	908	5.7	Drake Maye	242.4
10	Justin Jefferson	MIN	27	67	830	4.5	J.J. McCarthy	235.9
11	Chris Olave	NOR	26	73	952	5.5	Tyler Shough	229.4
12	Zay Flowers	BAL	26	76	991	6.2	Lamar Jackson	228.0
13	Malik Nabers	NYG	23	60	844	5.1	Jaxson Dart	214.0
14	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	23	66	892	5.9	Bryce Young	210.6
15	DeVonta Smith	PHI	28	63	820	5.1	Jalen Hurts	210.6
16	Tee Higgins	CIN	27	64	866	5.7	Joe Burrow	210.5
17	Rashee Rice	KAN	26	65	729	4.3	Patrick Mahomes	207.9
18	Emeka Egbuka	TAM	24	61	827	5.4	Baker Mayfield	199.0
19	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	26	63	790	4.4	Justin Fields	197.0
20	Jameson Williams	DET	25	62	858	5.8	Jared Goff	193.9
21	Ladd McConkey	LAC	25	61	779	5.0	Justin Herbert	193.2
22	Davante Adams	LAR	34	61	810	5.5	Matthew Stafford	192.1
23	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	28	58	783	4.8	Bo Nix	190.9
24	Carnell Tate	TEN	-	-	-	-	-	180.0
25	Rome Odunze	CHI	24	57	802	5.2	Caleb Williams	177.1
26	D.J. Moore	BUF	29	53	676	4.0	Josh Allen	176.8
27	Christian Watson	GNB	27	48	743	5.2	Jordan Love	176.4
28	Parker Washington	JAX	24	51	699	4.4	Trevor Lawrence	173.9
29	Brian Thomas	JAX	24	56	801	5.0	Trevor Lawrence	173.9
30	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARI	24	54	758	4.6	Jacoby Brissett	172.6
31	D.K. Metcalf	PIT	29	58	749	4.4	Aaron Rodgers	172.3
32	Courtland Sutton	DEN	31	59	790	4.9	Bo Nix	170.4
33	Michael Wilson	ARI	26	63	828	4.9	Jacoby Brissett	170.0
34	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	25	73	886	5.0	Cam Ward	168.7
35	Alec Pierce	IND	26	52	822	5.4	Daniel Jones	167.9
36	Terry McLaurin	WAS	31	46	637	3.6	Marcus Mariota	167.5
37	Luther Burden	CHI	23	48	564	3.7	Caleb Williams	164.2
38	Quentin Johnston	LAC	25	58	776	5.1	Justin Herbert	161.6
39	Stefon Diggs	NWE	33	58	689	4.4	Drake Maye	160.1
40	Michael Pittman Jr.	PIT	29	59	697	4.3	Aaron Rodgers	158.0
41	Mike Evans	SFO	33	43	573	3.4	Brock Purdy	155.6
42	Jordan Addison	MIN	24	49	671	4.0	J.J. McCarthy	148.7
43	Josh Downs	IND	25	55	640	3.8	Daniel Jones	148.3
44	Makai Lemon	PHI	-	-	-	-	-	145.6
45	Khalil Shakir	BUF	26	63	690	4.2	Josh Allen	143.4
46	Xavier Worthy	KAN	23	53	692	3.9	Patrick Mahomes	141.9
47	Jayden Reed	GNB	26	39	450	2.9	Jordan Love	139.8
48	Romeo Doubs	NWE	26	54	733	4.8	Drake Maye	137.2
49	Chris Godwin	TAM	30	45	484	2.8	Baker Mayfield	136.2
50	Deebo Samuel	WAS	30	52	539	2.8	Marcus Mariota	133.5
51	Jordyn Tyson	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	133.2
52	KC Concepcion	CLE	-	-	-	-	-	132.1
53	Jalen Coker	CAR	25	43	530	3.5	Bryce Young	131.9
54	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	30	54	632	3.5	Trevor Lawrence	131.5
55	Tre Tucker	LVR	25	56	704	3.9	Geno Smith	127.7
56	Matthew Golden	GNB	23	38	513	3.3	Jordan Love	127.5
57	De'Zhaun Stribling	SFO	-	-	-	-	-	127.1
58	Kayshon Boutte	NWE	24	49	755	5.4	Drake Maye	126.8
59	Travis Hunter	JAX	23	47	557	3.5	Trevor Lawrence	120.7
60	Dontayvion Wicks	PHI	25	40	526	3.4	Jalen Hurts	113.3
61	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	28	42	534	3.0	Sam Darnold	112.4
62	Keenan Allen	LAC	34	51	596	3.6	Justin Herbert	112.0
63	Denzel Boston	CLE	-	-	-	-	-	108.8
64	Ja'Kobi Lane	BAL	-	-	-	-	-	105.7
65	Malik Washington	MIA	25	43	419	2.1	Tua Tagovailoa	105.4
66	Cooper Kupp	SEA	33	41	429	2.4	Sam Darnold	99.5
67	Tyquan Thornton	KAN	26	24	578	4.3	Patrick Mahomes	98.4
68	Caleb Douglas	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	95.4
69	Jalen Nailor	LVR	27	31	403	2.2	Geno Smith	92.9
70	Jauan Jennings	MIN	29	58	747	4.8	J.J. McCarthy	92.2
71	Xavier Legette	CAR	25	42	525	3.3	Bryce Young	90.3
72	Troy Franklin	DEN	23	52	689	4.3	Bo Nix	85.1
73	KaVontae Turpin	DAL	30	29	333	1.9	Dak Prescott	83.1
74	Tutu Atwell	MIA	27	27	416	2.8	Tua Tagovailoa	81.8
75	Keon Coleman	BUF	23	47	630	4.4	Josh Allen	80.3
76	Demarcus Robinson	SFO	32	24	352	2.3	Brock Purdy	78.2
77	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	27	48	621	3.3	Shedeur Sanders	78.1
78	Mack Hollins	NWE	33	36	478	3.1	Drake Maye	77.9
79	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	23	45	613	3.6	Cam Ward	77.6
80	Tyreek Hill	MIA	32	47	616	3.6	Tua Tagovailoa	76.2
81	DeMario Douglas	NWE	26	44	548	3.5	Drake Maye	71.6
82	Jahdae Walker	CHI	24	19	276	2.5	Caleb Williams	70.9
83	Marquise Brown	PHI	29	42	534	3.5	Jalen Hurts	69.7
84	Isaiah Bond	CLE	22	25	431	2.4	Shedeur Sanders	69.5
85	Emmanuel Henderson Jr.	SEA	-	-	-	-	-	69.2
86	Kalif Raymond	CHI	32	26	227	1.3	Caleb Williams	68.4
87	Tez Johnson	TAM	24	35	453	3.2	Baker Mayfield	67.6
88	Zavion Thomas	CHI	-	-	-	-	-	66.9
89	Calvin Austin III	NYG	27	37	480	2.8	Jaxson Dart	65.0
90	Anthony Smith	DAL	-	-	-	-	-	64.7
91	Skyler Bell	BUF	-	-	-	-	-	64.2
92	Chimere Dike	TEN	25	42	461	2.4	Cam Ward	64.0
93	Ryan Flournoy	DAL	27	40	460	3.1	Dak Prescott	63.9
94	Darius Cooper	PHI	25	22	245	1.7	Jalen Hurts	63.4
95	Darnell Mooney	NYG	29	35	497	2.7	Jaxson Dart	62.7
96	Jalen McMillan	TAM	25	36	461	3.1	Baker Mayfield	62.6
97	Darius Slayton	NYG	29	35	462	2.6	Jaxson Dart	62.5
98	Bryce Lance	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	62.4
99	Jordan Whittington	LAR	26	27	284	1.7	Matthew Stafford	62.2
100	Marvin Mims	DEN	24	40	455	2.5	Bo Nix	62.1
101	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	DEN	28	20	220	1.2	Bo Nix	61.7
102	Luke McCaffrey	WAS	25	28	350	2.3	Marcus Mariota	61.5
103	Isaiah Williams	NYJ	25	30	233	1.0	Justin Fields	61.0
104	Rashod Bateman	BAL	27	32	447	3.1	Lamar Jackson	60.4
105	Tory Horton	SEA	24	32	462	3.5	Sam Darnold	60.3
106	Pat Bryant	DEN	24	35	417	2.7	Bo Nix	59.3
107	Adonai Mitchell	NYJ	24	31	462	2.7	Joe Flacco	59.0
108	Josh Palmer	BUF	27	33	447	3.0	Josh Allen	59.0
109	Isaac TeSlaa	DET	24	31	445	3.6	Jared Goff	58.8
110	Theo Wease	MIA	25	31	429	3.2	Tua Tagovailoa	58.4
111	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	27	34	446	2.8	Joe Burrow	57.9
112	Kendrick Bourne	ARI	31	30	393	2.5	Jacoby Brissett	56.5
113	Tre Harris	LAC	24	34	381	2.4	Justin Herbert	55.5
114	John Metchie	2TM	26	28	247	1.4	Joe Flacco	54.9
115	Colbie Young	CIN	-	-	-	-	-	54.5
116	Jalen Tolbert	MIA	27	30	408	2.5	Tua Tagovailoa	54.5
117	Olamide Zaccheaus	ATL	29	33	344	2.0	Michael Penix	54.5
118	Jaylin Noel	HOU	24	32	377	2.5	C.J. Stroud	54.3
119	Roman Wilson	PIT	25	24	316	2.1	Aaron Rodgers	54.2
120	Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	26	31	368	2.1	C.J. Stroud	53.7
121	Calvin Ridley	TEN	32	29	389	2.0	Cam Ward	53.4
122	Jahan Dotson	ATL	26	27	420	2.5	Michael Penix	53.1
123	Elijah Moore	PHI	26	30	348	2.2	Jalen Hurts	52.5
124	Gabriel Davis	BUF	27	31	357	2.6	Josh Allen	52.4
125	Cedric Tillman	CLE	26	29	359	1.9	Shedeur Sanders	50.6
126	Devaughn Vele	NOR	29	30	364	2.0	Tyler Shough	50.4
127	JuJu Smith-Schuster	KAN	30	28	250	1.3	Patrick Mahomes	50.3
128	Dyami Brown	WSH	27	23	330	2.2	Marcus Mariota	49.8
129	Konata Mumpfield	LAR	24	21	281	2.2	Matthew Stafford	49.5
130	Sterling Shepard	TAM	33	32	327	1.7	Baker Mayfield	47.6
131	DeAndre Hopkins	BAL	34	26	352	2.2	Lamar Jackson	47.6
132	Jaylin Lane	WAS	24	23	324	1.9	Marcus Mariota	47.6
133	Jack Bech	LVR	24	28	312	1.6	Geno Smith	47.1
134	Greg Dortch	DET	28	35	266	1.2	Jared Goff	46.8
135	Xavier Smith	LAR	29	21	366	2.5	Matthew Stafford	46.7
136	Treylon Burks	WSH	26	22	294	1.8	Marcus Mariota	44.6
137	Jimmy Horn	CAR	24	23	211	1.3	Bryce Young	44.3
138	Van Jefferson	WSH	30	25	298	1.4	Marcus Mariota	42.3
139	Kevin Austin	NOR	26	22	232	1.6	Tyler Shough	42.0
140	Hunter Renfrow	CAR	31	27	243	1.6	Bryce Young	41.4
141	Tyler Johnson	DAL	28	20	254	1.3	Dak Prescott	40.7
142	Casey Washington	ATL	25	15	291	2.0	Michael Penix	40.0
143	Mitchell Tinsley	CIN	27	15	264	2.0	Joe Burrow	39.9
144	Isaiah Hodgins	NYG	28	22	244	1.5	Jaxson Dart	38.9
145	Noah Brown	WAS	30	22	241	1.3	Marcus Mariota	37.9
146	CJ Daniels	LAR	-	-	-	-	-	36.8
147	Jalin Hyatt	NYG	25	14	277	1.8	Jaxson Dart	36.6
148	Brycen Tremayne	CAR	27	21	218	1.3	Bryce Young	36.5
149	Chris Moore	WAS	33	8	134	0.8	Marcus Mariota	36.3
150	Josh Reynolds	NYJ	31	20	230	0.9	Justin Fields	35.5
151	Zay Jones	ARI	31	18	232	1.3	Jacoby Brissett	34.7
152	Brandin Cooks	BUF	33	18	229	1.1	Joe Flacco	34.5
153	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	IND	29	17	153	1.1	Daniel Jones	34.3
154	David Sills V	ATL	30	16	190	1.1	Michael Penix	34.1
155	Allen Lazard	NYJ	31	21	170	0.7	Justin Fields	33.0
156	Tyler Lockett	LVR	34	20	179	0.7	Joe Flacco	32.7
157	Dante Pettis	NOR	31	20	184	0.6	Tyler Shough	31.5
158	Austin Trammell	JAX	28	11	160	1.4	Trevor Lawrence	30.5
159	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	DAL	32	16	181	0.9	Dak Prescott	29.6
160	Malachi Corley	CLE	24	24	77	0.0	Shedeur Sanders	29.3
161	Dylan Drummond	ATL	26	18	131	0.7	Michael Penix	28.9
162	Dont'e Thornton	LVR	24	18	320	1.9	Geno Smith	27.4
163	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	LAC	25	17	298	2.2	Justin Herbert	27.4
164	Savion Williams	GNB	25	27	172	1.1	Jordan Love	27.4
165	Ashton Dulin	IND	29	13	201	1.2	Daniel Jones	27.4
166	Ray-Ray McCloud	NYG	30	19	111	0.5	Joe Flacco	27.4
167	Gunner Olszewski	NYG	30	16	134	0.6	Jaxson Dart	27.4
168	Kaden Wetjen	PIT	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
169	Reggie Virgil	ARI	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
170	Barion Brown	NOR	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
171	Josh Cameron	JAX	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
172	Malik Benson	LVR	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
173	CJ Williams	JAX	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
174	Deion Burks	IND	-	-	-	-	-	27.4
175	Gage Larvadain	CLE	24	12	93	0.5	Shedeur Sanders	26.9
176	Brenen Thompson	LAC	-	-	-	-	-	25.0
177	Scott Miller	CHI	29	16	84	0.2	Caleb Williams	24.7
178	Adam Thielen	PIT	36	13	103	0.2	Joe Flacco	24.1
179	Omar Cooper Jr.	NYJ	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
180	Germie Bernard	PIT	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
181	Antonio Williams	WAS	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
182	Malachi Fields	NYG	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
183	Zachariah Branch	ATL	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
184	Chris Brazzell II	CAR	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
185	Ted Hurst	TAM	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
186	Chris Bell	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
187	Elijah Sarratt	BAL	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
188	Cyrus Allen	KAN	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
189	Kevin Coleman Jr.	MIA	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
190	Lewis Bond	HOU	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
191	Ricky Pearsall	SFO	26	47	666	4.2	Brock Purdy	23.7
192	Jayden Higgins	HOU	24	44	581	4.0	C.J. Stroud	23.7
193	Kyle Williams	NWE	24	24	452	3.6	Drake Maye	23.7
194	Christian Kirk	SFO	30	30	312	1.9	Brock Purdy	23.7
195	Tyrell Shavers	BUF	27	24	351	2.4	Josh Allen	23.7
196	Mason Tipton	NOR	26	22	231	0.9	Tyler Shough	23.7
197	Tim Patrick	NYJ	33	17	200	1.4	Justin Fields	23.7
198	Xavier Weaver	ARI	26	16	230	1.3	Jacoby Brissett	23.7
199	Arian Smith	NYJ	25	15	208	0.9	Justin Fields	23.7
200	Jamari Thrash	CLE	26	19	128	0.5	Shedeur Sanders	23.7
201	Kendrick Law	DET	-	-	-	-	-	23.7
202	James Proche	TEN	30	10	127	0.5	Cam Ward	23.2
203	KhaDarel Hodge	ATL	31	3	74	0.3	Michael Penix	20.4

Proj Pts is our 2026 projection: the model blended daily with live market ADP, so the order reflects both. Rec, Yds, and TD are the model's projected 2026 components; QB is the passer context it weighed. Dashes mark rookies and returning players priced from market data alone.

How we project wide receiver performance

Our WR projection model uses ElasticNet regression with QB context features. Target share is the single strongest predictor of year-over-year wide receiver fantasy production, followed by age and QB quality metrics. The model incorporates the quarterback's passer rating and passing volume to capture the effect of offensive environment on receiver production.

Two-year target share trends and age curves help identify breakout candidates and players likely to decline. WRs in their age 24–27 window with rising target shares are the model's strongest positive signals.

Wide Receiver projection FAQ

Who are the top fantasy wide receivers for 2026?

According to our machine learning model trained on 16 seasons (2010-2025) of NFL data, the top 2026 fantasy wide receivers are: 1. Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) with 325.5 projected fantasy points; 2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) with 303.2 projected fantasy points; 3. Puka Nacua (LAR) with 302.8 projected fantasy points; 4. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) with 275.2 projected fantasy points; 5. Nico Collins (HOU) with 271.8 projected fantasy points.

When should I draft a wide receiver in 2026 fantasy football?

Target elite wide receivers in rounds 1–3 alongside RBs. In PPR formats, top WRs compete with RBs for overall VBD value. The position has excellent depth, but the elite tier (top 5–8 WRs) separates significantly from the rest. In 3-WR leagues, prioritize WRs even higher.