Jared Goff vs Tyler Shough
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Jared Goff this week, and it isn't close: 3.2 projected points separate them (15.7 vs 12.4).
Jared Goff faces NYJ, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Tyler Shough faces LV, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jared Goff, and it isn't close: 34.0 points of value over replacement separate them (-28.8 vs -62.9).
The draft market agrees: Jared Goff goes first at ADP 101.8 vs 137.8 for Tyler Shough.
| Jared GoffDET | Tyler ShoughNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYJ | LV | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 15.7 | 12.4 | Goff +3.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 242.6 | 208.5 | Goff +34.0 pts |
| Points per game | 14.3 | 12.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -28.8 | -62.9 | Goff +34.0 |
| Overall rank | #103 | #140 | Goff by 37 |
| Position rank | QB16 | QB19 | |
| Market ADP | 101.8 | 137.8 | Shough +36.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Jared Goff or Tyler Shough in Week 3?
Start Jared Goff this week, and it isn't close: 3.2 projected points separate them (15.7 vs 12.4).
Should I draft Jared Goff or Tyler Shough in 2026 fantasy football?
Jared Goff. He projects 242.6 fantasy points with -28.8 value over replacement, vs 208.5 points and -62.9 for Tyler Shough (QB, PPR).