Matthew Stafford vs Jared Goff
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.5 projected points (18.6 vs 18.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Matthew Stafford faces ARI, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jared Goff faces NE, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Matthew Stafford: a clear but modest edge of 12.9 points of value over replacement (17.8 vs 5.0).
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 74.2 vs 101.8 for Jared Goff.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | Jared GoffDET | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ARI | NE | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 18.6 | 18.0 | Stafford +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 305.3 | 292.4 | Stafford +12.9 pts |
| Points per game | 18.0 | 17.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 17.8 | 5.0 | Stafford +12.9 |
| Overall rank | #53 | #64 | Stafford by 11 |
| Position rank | QB8 | QB10 | |
| Market ADP | 74.2 | 101.8 | Goff +27.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I start Matthew Stafford or Jared Goff in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.5 projected points (18.6 vs 18.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 305.3 fantasy points with 17.8 value over replacement, vs 292.4 points and 5.0 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).