Matthew Stafford vs Brock Purdy
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-12.6 vs -12.7) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Brock Purdy first (ADP 100.4 vs 101.8). If the model is right, Matthew Stafford is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Matthew Stafford | Brock Purdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | LAR | SFO |
| Overall rank | #91 | #92 |
| Position rank | QB13 | QB14 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.6 | 250.5 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.6 | -12.7 |
| Market ADP | 101.8 | 100.4 |
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Brock Purdy in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 250.6 fantasy points with -12.6 value over replacement, vs 250.5 points and -12.7 for Brock Purdy (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.