Matthew Stafford vs Brock Purdy
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB13
Matthew Stafford
250.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB14
Brock Purdy
250.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-12.6 vs -12.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 76.9 vs 88.0 for Brock Purdy.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | Brock PurdySFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.6 | 250.5 | Stafford +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 14.7 | 14.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.6 | -12.7 | Stafford +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #92 | #93 | Stafford by 1 |
| Position rank | QB13 | QB14 | |
| Market ADP | 76.9 | 88.0 | Purdy +11.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 |
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Brock Purdy in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 250.6 fantasy points with -12.6 value over replacement, vs 250.5 points and -12.7 for Brock Purdy (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.