Brock Purdy vs Matthew Stafford
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.5 projected points (22.6 vs 20.2).
Brock Purdy faces WAS, the 1st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Matthew Stafford faces ARI, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 6.2 points of value over replacement (45.4 vs 39.2).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Matthew Stafford first (ADP 74.2 vs 84.0). If the model is right, Brock Purdy is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brock PurdySFO | Matthew StaffordLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | WAS | ARI | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 22.6 | 20.2 | Purdy +2.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #1 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 334.0 | 327.8 | Purdy +6.2 pts |
| Points per game | 19.6 | 19.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 45.4 | 39.2 | Purdy +6.2 |
| Overall rank | #34 | #39 | Purdy by 5 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB3 | |
| Market ADP | 84.0 | 74.2 | Purdy +9.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford in Week 6?
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.5 projected points (22.6 vs 20.2).
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 334.0 fantasy points with 45.4 value over replacement, vs 327.8 points and 39.2 for Matthew Stafford (QB, PPR).