Brock Purdy vs Josh Allen
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brock Purdy by 0.8 projected points (22.6 vs 21.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Brock Purdy faces WAS, the 1st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Josh Allen faces LV, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 8.9 points of value over replacement (45.4 vs 36.5).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Josh Allen first (ADP 32.9 vs 84.0). If the model is right, Brock Purdy is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brock PurdySFO | Josh AllenBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | WAS | LV | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 22.6 | 21.8 | Purdy +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #1 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 334.0 | 325.0 | Purdy +8.9 pts |
| Points per game | 19.6 | 19.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 45.4 | 36.5 | Purdy +8.9 |
| Overall rank | #34 | #43 | Purdy by 9 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB4 | |
| Market ADP | 84.0 | 32.9 | Purdy +51.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 |
Should I start Brock Purdy or Josh Allen in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brock Purdy by 0.8 projected points (22.6 vs 21.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Josh Allen in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 334.0 fantasy points with 45.4 value over replacement, vs 325.0 points and 36.5 for Josh Allen (QB, PPR).