Head to head · QB · 2026
Brock Purdy vs Jared Goff
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Brock Purdy
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 14.8 points of value over replacement (-12.7 vs -27.5).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jared Goff first (ADP 92.4 vs 101.0). If the model is right, Brock Purdy is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brock Purdy | Jared Goff | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | SFO | DET | |
| Overall rank | #90 | #107 | Purdy by 17 |
| Position rank | QB15 | QB17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.5 | 235.7 | Purdy +14.8 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.7 | -27.5 | Purdy +14.8 |
| Market ADP | 101.0 | 92.4 | Purdy +8.6 cheaper |
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 250.5 fantasy points with -12.7 value over replacement, vs 235.7 points and -27.5 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).