Brock Purdy vs Kyler Murray
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (15.9 vs 14.4).
Brock Purdy faces ARI, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Kyler Murray faces TB, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Purdy, and it isn't close: 41.2 points of value over replacement separate them (-14.6 vs -55.7).
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 84.0 vs 129.2 for Kyler Murray.
| Brock PurdySFO | Kyler MurrayMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ARI | TB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 15.9 | 14.4 | Purdy +1.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #10 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 256.8 | 215.7 | Purdy +41.2 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -14.6 | -55.7 | Purdy +41.2 |
| Overall rank | #90 | #133 | Purdy by 43 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB17 | |
| Market ADP | 84.0 | 129.2 | Murray +45.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I start Brock Purdy or Kyler Murray in Week 3?
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (15.9 vs 14.4).
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Kyler Murray in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 256.8 fantasy points with -14.6 value over replacement, vs 215.7 points and -55.7 for Kyler Murray (QB, PPR).