Bo Nix vs Kyler Murray
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB16
Bo Nix
240.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB19
Kyler Murray
215.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Bo Nix, and it isn't close: 25.2 points of value over replacement separate them (-11.0 vs -36.2).
The draft market agrees: Bo Nix goes first at ADP 111.5 vs 134.0 for Kyler Murray.
| Bo NixDEN | Kyler MurrayMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 240.8 | 215.6 | Nix +25.2 pts |
| Points per game | 14.2 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -11.0 | -36.2 | Nix +25.2 |
| Overall rank | #86 | #117 | Nix by 31 |
| Position rank | QB16 | QB19 | |
| Market ADP | 111.5 | 134.0 | Murray +22.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Should I draft Bo Nix or Kyler Murray in 2026 fantasy football?
Bo Nix. He projects 240.8 fantasy points with -11.0 value over replacement, vs 215.6 points and -36.2 for Kyler Murray (QB, PPR).