Matthew Stafford vs Bo Nix
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Matthew Stafford this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (15.7 vs 14.4).
Matthew Stafford faces DEN, the 18th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Bo Nix faces LA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Matthew Stafford, and it isn't close: 17.1 points of value over replacement separate them (-0.6 vs -17.6).
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 74.2 vs 109.6 for Bo Nix.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | Bo NixDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DEN | LA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 15.7 | 14.4 | Stafford +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 270.8 | 253.8 | Stafford +17.1 pts |
| Points per game | 15.9 | 14.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -0.6 | -17.6 | Stafford +17.1 |
| Overall rank | #73 | #93 | Stafford by 20 |
| Position rank | QB13 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 74.2 | 109.6 | Nix +35.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix in Week 3?
Start Matthew Stafford this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (15.7 vs 14.4).
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 270.8 fantasy points with -0.6 value over replacement, vs 253.8 points and -17.6 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR).