Jaxson Dart vs Bo Nix
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (16.2 vs 14.1).
Jaxson Dart faces WAS, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Bo Nix faces LAC, the 26th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 3.7 points of value over replacement (-15.5 vs -19.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Bo Nix first (ADP 109.6 vs 118.2). If the model is right, Jaxson Dart is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Bo NixDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | WAS | LAC | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 16.2 | 14.1 | Dart +2.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 253.8 | Dart +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 14.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -15.5 | -19.2 | Dart +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #92 | #95 | Dart by 3 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | 109.6 | Dart +8.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Bo Nix in Week 5?
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (16.2 vs 14.1).
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -15.5 value over replacement, vs 253.8 points and -19.2 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.