Head to head · QB · 2026
Jaxson Dart vs Trevor Lawrence
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jaxson Dart
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 3.4 points of value over replacement (8.3 vs 4.9) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Trevor Lawrence first (ADP 81.9 vs 115.4). If the model is right, Jaxson Dart is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaxson Dart | Trevor Lawrence | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | NYG | JAX |
| Overall rank | #65 | #68 |
| Position rank | QB10 | QB11 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 271.5 | 268.1 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 8.3 | 4.9 |
| Market ADP | 115.4 | 81.9 |
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Trevor Lawrence in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 271.5 fantasy points with 8.3 value over replacement, vs 268.1 points and 4.9 for Trevor Lawrence (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.