Trevor Lawrence vs Jaxson Dart
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB10
Trevor Lawrence
268.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB11
Jaxson Dart
267.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Trevor Lawrence by 0.9 points of value over replacement (4.9 vs 3.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Trevor Lawrence goes first at ADP 91.2 vs 116.4 for Jaxson Dart.
| Trevor LawrenceJAX | Jaxson DartNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 268.1 | 267.1 | Lawrence +0.9 pts |
| Points per game | 15.8 | 15.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 4.9 | 3.9 | Lawrence +0.9 |
| Overall rank | #68 | #69 | Lawrence by 1 |
| Position rank | QB10 | QB11 | |
| Market ADP | 91.2 | 116.4 | Dart +25.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jaxson Dart in 2026 fantasy football?
Trevor Lawrence. He projects 268.1 fantasy points with 4.9 value over replacement, vs 267.1 points and 3.9 for Jaxson Dart (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.