Dak Prescott vs Trevor Lawrence
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB9
Dak Prescott
274.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB10
Trevor Lawrence
268.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Dak Prescott: a clear but modest edge of 6.7 points of value over replacement (11.6 vs 4.9).
The draft market agrees: Dak Prescott goes first at ADP 65.6 vs 91.2 for Trevor Lawrence.
| Dak PrescottDAL | Trevor LawrenceJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 274.8 | 268.1 | Prescott +6.7 pts |
| Points per game | 16.2 | 15.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 11.6 | 4.9 | Prescott +6.7 |
| Overall rank | #64 | #68 | Prescott by 4 |
| Position rank | QB9 | QB10 | |
| Market ADP | 65.6 | 91.2 | Lawrence +25.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I draft Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence in 2026 fantasy football?
Dak Prescott. He projects 274.8 fantasy points with 11.6 value over replacement, vs 268.1 points and 4.9 for Trevor Lawrence (QB, PPR).