Jalen Hurts vs Dak Prescott
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model takes Jalen Hurts: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (23.1 vs 11.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Dak Prescott first (ADP 59.0 vs 95.1). If the model is right, Jalen Hurts is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Dak Prescott carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jalen Hurts | Dak Prescott | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | PHI | DAL | |
| Overall rank | #53 | #64 | Hurts by 11 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 286.3 | 274.8 | Hurts +11.5 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 23.1 | 11.6 | Hurts +11.5 |
| Market ADP | 95.1 | 59.0 | Hurts +36.1 cheaper |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Dak Prescott in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 286.3 fantasy points with 23.1 value over replacement, vs 274.8 points and 11.6 for Dak Prescott (QB, PPR).