Head to head · QB · 2026
Jalen Hurts vs Caleb Williams
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jalen Hurts
The model takes Jalen Hurts: a clear but modest edge of 7.3 points of value over replacement (23.1 vs 15.9).
The draft market agrees: Jalen Hurts goes first at ADP 93.7 vs 109.0 for Caleb Williams.
| Jalen Hurts | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | PHI | CHI |
| Overall rank | #53 | #59 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB7 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 286.3 | 279.1 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 23.1 | 15.9 |
| Market ADP | 93.7 | 109.0 |
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Caleb Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 286.3 fantasy points with 23.1 value over replacement, vs 279.1 points and 15.9 for Caleb Williams (QB, PPR).