Jalen Hurts vs Jayden Daniels
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jalen Hurts this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (18.7 vs 17.5).
Jalen Hurts faces JAX, the 18th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces NYG, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jalen Hurts, and it isn't close: 20.8 points of value over replacement separate them (43.5 vs 22.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jayden Daniels first (ADP 75.2 vs 75.9). If the model is right, Jalen Hurts is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jalen HurtsPHI | Jayden DanielsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | JAX | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 18.7 | 17.5 | Hurts +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #18 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 316.5 | 295.7 | Hurts +20.8 pts |
| Points per game | 18.6 | 17.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 43.5 | 22.7 | Hurts +20.8 |
| Overall rank | #40 | #50 | Hurts by 10 |
| Position rank | QB5 | QB7 | |
| Market ADP | 75.9 | 75.2 | Hurts +0.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 |
Should I start Jalen Hurts or Jayden Daniels in Week 5?
Start Jalen Hurts this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (18.7 vs 17.5).
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Jayden Daniels in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 316.5 fantasy points with 43.5 value over replacement, vs 295.7 points and 22.7 for Jayden Daniels (QB, PPR).