Head to head · QB · 2026
Joe Burrow vs Jalen Hurts
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Joe Burrow
The model takes Joe Burrow: a clear but modest edge of 8.0 points of value over replacement (31.1 vs 23.1).
The draft market agrees: Joe Burrow goes first at ADP 47.4 vs 93.7 for Jalen Hurts.
| Joe Burrow | Jalen Hurts | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CIN | PHI |
| Overall rank | #45 | #53 |
| Position rank | QB4 | QB6 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 294.3 | 286.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 31.1 | 23.1 |
| Market ADP | 47.4 | 93.7 |
Should I draft Joe Burrow or Jalen Hurts in 2026 fantasy football?
Joe Burrow. He projects 294.3 fantasy points with 31.1 value over replacement, vs 286.3 points and 23.1 for Jalen Hurts (QB, PPR).