Head to head · QB · 2026
Drake Maye vs Joe Burrow
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Drake Maye
The model takes Drake Maye, and it isn't close — 34.0 points of value over replacement separate them (65.1 vs 31.1).
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Joe Burrow first (ADP 47.4 vs 65.1). If the model is right, Drake Maye is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Drake Maye | Joe Burrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | NWE | CIN |
| Overall rank | #26 | #45 |
| Position rank | QB3 | QB4 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 328.3 | 294.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 65.1 | 31.1 |
| Market ADP | 65.1 | 47.4 |
Should I draft Drake Maye or Joe Burrow in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake Maye. He projects 328.3 fantasy points with 65.1 value over replacement, vs 294.3 points and 31.1 for Joe Burrow (QB, PPR).