Drake Maye vs Joe Burrow
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB3
Drake Maye
328.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB4
Joe Burrow
294.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Drake Maye, and it isn't close: 34.0 points of value over replacement separate them (65.1 vs 31.1).
The draft market agrees: Drake Maye goes first at ADP 51.8 vs 57.9 for Joe Burrow.
| Drake MayeNWE | Joe BurrowCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 328.3 | 294.3 | Maye +34.0 pts |
| Points per game | 19.3 | 17.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 65.1 | 31.1 | Maye +34.0 |
| Overall rank | #25 | #45 | Maye by 20 |
| Position rank | QB3 | QB4 | |
| Market ADP | 51.8 | 57.9 | Burrow +6.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I draft Drake Maye or Joe Burrow in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake Maye. He projects 328.3 fantasy points with 65.1 value over replacement, vs 294.3 points and 31.1 for Joe Burrow (QB, PPR).