Head to head · QB · 2026
Josh Allen vs Joe Burrow
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Josh Allen
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close: 85.0 points of value over replacement separate them (116.1 vs 31.1).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 27.6 vs 47.4 for Joe Burrow.
| Josh Allen | Joe Burrow | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | BUF | CIN | |
| Overall rank | #10 | #45 | Allen by 35 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 379.3 | 294.3 | Allen +85.0 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 116.1 | 31.1 | Allen +85.0 |
| Market ADP | 27.6 | 47.4 | Burrow +19.8 cheaper |
Should I draft Josh Allen or Joe Burrow in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 379.3 fantasy points with 116.1 value over replacement, vs 294.3 points and 31.1 for Joe Burrow (QB, PPR).