Josh Allen vs Drake Maye
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 5.2 projected points separate them (25.7 vs 20.4).
Josh Allen faces LA, the 4th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Drake Maye faces LV, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close: 66.8 points of value over replacement separate them (123.4 vs 56.6).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 32.9 vs 51.8 for Drake Maye.
| Josh AllenBUF | Drake MayeNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LA | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 25.7 | 20.4 | Allen +5.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #4 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 396.4 | 329.6 | Allen +66.8 pts |
| Points per game | 23.3 | 19.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 123.4 | 56.6 | Allen +66.8 |
| Overall rank | #8 | #31 | Allen by 23 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB3 | |
| Market ADP | 32.9 | 51.8 | Maye +18.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I start Josh Allen or Drake Maye in Week 5?
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 5.2 projected points separate them (25.7 vs 20.4).
Should I draft Josh Allen or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 396.4 fantasy points with 123.4 value over replacement, vs 329.6 points and 56.6 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR).