Josh Allen vs Lamar Jackson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB1
Josh Allen
379.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB2
Lamar Jackson
333.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close: 46.3 points of value over replacement separate them (116.1 vs 69.9).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 34.2 vs 56.9 for Lamar Jackson.
| Josh AllenBUF | Lamar JacksonBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 379.3 | 333.1 | Allen +46.3 pts |
| Points per game | 22.3 | 19.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 116.1 | 69.9 | Allen +46.3 |
| Overall rank | #10 | #23 | Allen by 13 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB2 | |
| Market ADP | 34.2 | 56.9 | Jackson +22.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 |
Should I draft Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 379.3 fantasy points with 116.1 value over replacement, vs 333.1 points and 69.9 for Lamar Jackson (QB, PPR).