Head to head · QB · 2026
Josh Allen vs Lamar Jackson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Josh Allen
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close — 46.3 points of value over replacement separate them (116.1 vs 69.9).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 28.5 vs 53.6 for Lamar Jackson.
| Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | BUF | BAL |
| Overall rank | #9 | #21 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB2 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 379.3 | 333.1 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 116.1 | 69.9 |
| Market ADP | 28.5 | 53.6 |
Should I draft Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 379.3 fantasy points with 116.1 value over replacement, vs 333.1 points and 69.9 for Lamar Jackson (QB, PPR).