Lamar Jackson vs Joe Burrow
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB2
Lamar Jackson
333.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB4
Joe Burrow
294.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Lamar Jackson, and it isn't close: 38.7 points of value over replacement separate them (69.9 vs 31.1).
The draft market agrees: Lamar Jackson goes first at ADP 56.9 vs 57.9 for Joe Burrow.
| Lamar JacksonBAL | Joe BurrowCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 333.1 | 294.3 | Jackson +38.7 pts |
| Points per game | 19.6 | 17.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 69.9 | 31.1 | Jackson +38.7 |
| Overall rank | #23 | #45 | Jackson by 22 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB4 | |
| Market ADP | 56.9 | 57.9 | Burrow +1.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 |
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Joe Burrow in 2026 fantasy football?
Lamar Jackson. He projects 333.1 fantasy points with 69.9 value over replacement, vs 294.3 points and 31.1 for Joe Burrow (QB, PPR).