Lamar Jackson vs Drake Maye
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Lamar Jackson by 4.7 points of value over replacement (69.9 vs 65.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Drake Maye first (ADP 51.8 vs 56.9). If the model is right, Lamar Jackson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Lamar JacksonBAL | Drake MayeNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 333.1 | 328.3 | Jackson +4.7 pts |
| Points per game | 19.6 | 19.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 69.9 | 65.1 | Jackson +4.7 |
| Overall rank | #23 | #25 | Jackson by 2 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB3 | |
| Market ADP | 56.9 | 51.8 | Jackson +5.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Lamar Jackson. He projects 333.1 fantasy points with 69.9 value over replacement, vs 328.3 points and 65.1 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.