Head to head · QB · 2026
Lamar Jackson vs Drake Maye
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Lamar Jackson
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Lamar Jackson by 4.7 points of value over replacement (69.9 vs 65.1) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Lamar Jackson goes first at ADP 53.6 vs 65.1 for Drake Maye.
| Lamar Jackson | Drake Maye | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | BAL | NWE |
| Overall rank | #21 | #26 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB3 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 333.1 | 328.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 69.9 | 65.1 |
| Market ADP | 53.6 | 65.1 |
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Lamar Jackson. He projects 333.1 fantasy points with 69.9 value over replacement, vs 328.3 points and 65.1 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.