Lamar Jackson vs Jalen Hurts
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Lamar Jackson this week, and it isn't close: 5.4 projected points separate them (23.6 vs 18.2).
Lamar Jackson faces TEN, the 1st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jalen Hurts faces LA, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Lamar Jackson, and it isn't close: 40.5 points of value over replacement separate them (86.2 vs 45.7).
The draft market agrees: Lamar Jackson goes first at ADP 54.6 vs 75.9 for Jalen Hurts.
| Lamar JacksonBAL | Jalen HurtsPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | TEN | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 23.6 | 18.2 | Jackson +5.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #1 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 357.0 | 316.5 | Jackson +40.5 pts |
| Points per game | 21.0 | 18.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 86.2 | 45.7 | Jackson +40.5 |
| Overall rank | #18 | #38 | Jackson by 20 |
| Position rank | QB2 | QB5 | |
| Market ADP | 54.6 | 75.9 | Hurts +21.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts in Week 4?
Start Lamar Jackson this week, and it isn't close: 5.4 projected points separate them (23.6 vs 18.2).
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts in 2026 fantasy football?
Lamar Jackson. He projects 357.0 fantasy points with 86.2 value over replacement, vs 316.5 points and 45.7 for Jalen Hurts (QB, PPR).