Head to head · QB · 2026
Jalen Hurts vs Justin Herbert
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jalen Hurts
The model takes Jalen Hurts: a clear but modest edge of 10.6 points of value over replacement (23.1 vs 12.6).
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Justin Herbert first (ADP 75.2 vs 93.7). If the model is right, Jalen Hurts is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jalen Hurts | Justin Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | PHI | LAC |
| Overall rank | #53 | #61 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB8 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 286.3 | 275.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 23.1 | 12.6 |
| Market ADP | 93.7 | 75.2 |
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Justin Herbert in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 286.3 fantasy points with 23.1 value over replacement, vs 275.8 points and 12.6 for Justin Herbert (QB, PPR).