Jayden Daniels vs Justin Herbert
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jayden Daniels this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (17.5 vs 15.7).
Jayden Daniels faces IND, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Justin Herbert faces SEA, the 26th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jayden Daniels: a clear but modest edge of 10.7 points of value over replacement (24.9 vs 14.2).
The draft market agrees: Jayden Daniels goes first at ADP 75.2 vs 103.4 for Justin Herbert.
Health note: Jayden Daniels carries an injury flag of Questionable (Elbow), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jayden DanielsWAS | Justin HerbertLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | IND | SEA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 17.5 | 15.7 | Daniels +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #14 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 295.7 | 285.0 | Daniels +10.7 pts |
| Points per game | 17.4 | 16.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.9 | 14.2 | Daniels +10.7 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #61 | Daniels by 12 |
| Position rank | QB7 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 75.2 | 103.4 | Herbert +28.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Jayden Daniels or Justin Herbert in Week 4?
Start Jayden Daniels this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (17.5 vs 15.7).
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Justin Herbert in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 295.7 fantasy points with 24.9 value over replacement, vs 285.0 points and 14.2 for Justin Herbert (QB, PPR).