Head to head · QB · 2026
Jayden Daniels vs Justin Herbert
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jayden Daniels
The model takes Jayden Daniels: a clear but modest edge of 12.3 points of value over replacement (27.2 vs 14.9).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Justin Herbert first (ADP 79.9 vs 86.5). If the model is right, Jayden Daniels is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jayden Daniels | Justin Herbert | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WAS | LAC | |
| Overall rank | #49 | #60 | Daniels by 11 |
| Position rank | QB5 | QB8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 290.4 | 278.1 | Daniels +12.3 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 27.2 | 14.9 | Daniels +12.3 |
| Market ADP | 86.5 | 79.9 | Daniels +6.6 cheaper |
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Justin Herbert in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 290.4 fantasy points with 27.2 value over replacement, vs 278.1 points and 14.9 for Justin Herbert (QB, PPR).