Justin Herbert vs Michael Penix
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Michael Penix this week: Justin Herbert is on bye in Week 7.
Michael Penix gets SF, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 13.0 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Justin Herbert by 2.6 points of value over replacement (-70.7 vs -73.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Justin HerbertLAC | Michael PenixATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | Bye | SF | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 0.0 | 13.0 | Penix +13.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | - | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 222.2 | 219.6 | Herbert +2.6 pts |
| Points per game | 13.1 | 12.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -70.7 | -73.3 | Herbert +2.6 |
| Overall rank | #158 | #163 | Herbert by 5 |
| Position rank | QB23 | QB26 | |
| Market ADP | 103.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I start Justin Herbert or Michael Penix in Week 7?
Start Michael Penix this week: Justin Herbert is on bye in Week 7.
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Michael Penix in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Herbert. He projects 222.2 fantasy points with -70.7 value over replacement, vs 219.6 points and -73.3 for Michael Penix (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.