Caleb Williams vs Justin Herbert
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Caleb Williams this week, and it isn't close: 4.1 projected points separate them (18.6 vs 14.6).
Caleb Williams faces ATL, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Justin Herbert faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Caleb Williams, and it isn't close: 22.9 points of value over replacement separate them (25.6 vs 2.7).
The draft market agrees: Caleb Williams goes first at ADP 86.0 vs 103.4 for Justin Herbert.
Health note: Caleb Williams carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | Justin HerbertLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | ATL | KC | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 18.6 | 14.6 | Williams +4.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #5 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 298.6 | 275.7 | Williams +22.9 pts |
| Points per game | 17.6 | 16.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 25.6 | 2.7 | Williams +22.9 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #67 | Williams by 18 |
| Position rank | QB7 | QB10 | |
| Market ADP | 86.0 | 103.4 | Herbert +17.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Caleb Williams or Justin Herbert in Week 6?
Start Caleb Williams this week, and it isn't close: 4.1 projected points separate them (18.6 vs 14.6).
Should I draft Caleb Williams or Justin Herbert in 2026 fantasy football?
Caleb Williams. He projects 298.6 fantasy points with 25.6 value over replacement, vs 275.7 points and 2.7 for Justin Herbert (QB, PPR).