Caleb Williams vs Jayden Daniels
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Caleb Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (19.2 vs 17.5).
Caleb Williams faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces NYG, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Caleb Williams by 1.9 points of value over replacement (24.6 vs 22.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jayden Daniels first (ADP 75.2 vs 86.0). If the model is right, Caleb Williams is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Caleb Williams carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | Jayden DanielsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | GB | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 19.2 | 17.5 | Williams +1.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #5 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 297.6 | 295.7 | Williams +1.9 pts |
| Points per game | 17.5 | 17.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.6 | 22.7 | Williams +1.9 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #50 | Williams by 1 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB7 | |
| Market ADP | 86.0 | 75.2 | Williams +10.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels in Week 5?
Start Caleb Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (19.2 vs 17.5).
Should I draft Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels in 2026 fantasy football?
Caleb Williams. He projects 297.6 fantasy points with 24.6 value over replacement, vs 295.7 points and 22.7 for Jayden Daniels (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.