Jayden Daniels vs Caleb Williams
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB5
Jayden Daniels
290.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB7
Caleb Williams
279.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jayden Daniels: a clear but modest edge of 11.3 points of value over replacement (27.2 vs 15.9).
The draft market agrees: Jayden Daniels goes first at ADP 72.2 vs 90.6 for Caleb Williams.
| Jayden DanielsWAS | Caleb WilliamsCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 290.4 | 279.1 | Daniels +11.3 pts |
| Points per game | 17.1 | 16.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 27.2 | 15.9 | Daniels +11.3 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #59 | Daniels by 10 |
| Position rank | QB5 | QB7 | |
| Market ADP | 72.2 | 90.6 | Williams +18.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 |
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Caleb Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 290.4 fantasy points with 27.2 value over replacement, vs 279.1 points and 15.9 for Caleb Williams (QB, PPR).