Trevor Lawrence vs Brock Purdy

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

QB11
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · Bye 7
268.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB13
Brock Purdy
SFO · Bye 8
250.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Trevor Lawrence, and it isn't close: 17.5 points of value over replacement separate them (16.3 vs -1.3).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Brock Purdy first (ADP 87.2 vs 91.4). If the model is right, Trevor Lawrence is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Trevor LawrenceJAX Brock PurdySFO Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 268.1 250.5 Lawrence +17.5 pts
Points per game 15.8 14.7
Value over replacement (VBD) 16.3 -1.3 Lawrence +17.5
Overall rank #57 #73 Lawrence by 16
Position rank QB11 QB13
Market ADP 91.4 87.2 Lawrence +4.2 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 8 Rd 8
Bye week 7 8

Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Brock Purdy in 2026 fantasy football?

Trevor Lawrence. He projects 268.1 fantasy points with 16.3 value over replacement, vs 250.5 points and -1.3 for Brock Purdy (QB, PPR).

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