Jayden Daniels vs Brock Purdy
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (18.7 vs 17.5).
Brock Purdy faces SEA, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces NYG, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jayden Daniels ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jayden Daniels: a clear but modest edge of 11.3 points of value over replacement (22.7 vs 11.4).
The draft market agrees: Jayden Daniels goes first at ADP 75.2 vs 84.0 for Brock Purdy.
| Jayden DanielsWAS | Brock PurdySFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYG | SEA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 17.5 | 18.7 | Purdy +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 295.7 | 284.4 | Daniels +11.3 pts |
| Points per game | 17.4 | 16.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 22.7 | 11.4 | Daniels +11.3 |
| Overall rank | #50 | #62 | Daniels by 12 |
| Position rank | QB7 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 75.2 | 84.0 | Purdy +8.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I start Jayden Daniels or Brock Purdy in Week 5?
Start Brock Purdy this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (18.7 vs 17.5).
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Brock Purdy in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 295.7 fantasy points with 22.7 value over replacement, vs 284.4 points and 11.4 for Brock Purdy (QB, PPR).