Brock Purdy vs Justin Herbert
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Brock Purdy this week, and it isn't close: 3.6 projected points separate them (18.7 vs 15.0).
Brock Purdy faces SEA, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Justin Herbert faces DEN, the 29th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 8.6 points of value over replacement (11.4 vs 2.7).
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 84.0 vs 103.4 for Justin Herbert.
| Brock PurdySFO | Justin HerbertLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SEA | DEN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 18.7 | 15.0 | Purdy +3.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #3 | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 284.4 | 275.7 | Purdy +8.6 pts |
| Points per game | 16.7 | 16.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 11.4 | 2.7 | Purdy +8.6 |
| Overall rank | #62 | #67 | Purdy by 5 |
| Position rank | QB9 | QB10 | |
| Market ADP | 84.0 | 103.4 | Herbert +19.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 |
Should I start Brock Purdy or Justin Herbert in Week 5?
Start Brock Purdy this week, and it isn't close: 3.6 projected points separate them (18.7 vs 15.0).
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Justin Herbert in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 284.4 fantasy points with 11.4 value over replacement, vs 275.7 points and 2.7 for Justin Herbert (QB, PPR).