Dak Prescott vs Brock Purdy
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB9
Dak Prescott
274.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB12
Brock Purdy
250.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Dak Prescott, and it isn't close: 24.3 points of value over replacement separate them (24.3 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Dak Prescott goes first at ADP 65.8 vs 86.9 for Brock Purdy.
| Dak PrescottDAL | Brock PurdySFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 274.8 | 250.5 | Prescott +24.3 pts |
| Points per game | 16.2 | 14.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.3 | 0.0 | Prescott +24.3 |
| Overall rank | #52 | #70 | Prescott by 18 |
| Position rank | QB9 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 65.8 | 86.9 | Purdy +21.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I draft Dak Prescott or Brock Purdy in 2026 fantasy football?
Dak Prescott. He projects 274.8 fantasy points with 24.3 value over replacement, vs 250.5 points and 0.0 for Brock Purdy (QB, PPR).