Brock Purdy vs Patrick Mahomes
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Brock Purdy this week: Patrick Mahomes is on bye in Week 5.
Brock Purdy gets SEA, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 18.7 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 11.4 points of value over replacement (11.4 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 84.0 vs 104.0 for Patrick Mahomes.
| Brock PurdySFO | Patrick MahomesKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SEA | Bye | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 18.7 | 0.0 | Purdy +18.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #3 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 284.4 | 273.0 | Purdy +11.4 pts |
| Points per game | 16.7 | 16.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 11.4 | 0.0 | Purdy +11.4 |
| Overall rank | #62 | #71 | Purdy by 9 |
| Position rank | QB9 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 84.0 | 104.0 | Mahomes +20.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Should I start Brock Purdy or Patrick Mahomes in Week 5?
Start Brock Purdy this week: Patrick Mahomes is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Patrick Mahomes in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 284.4 fantasy points with 11.4 value over replacement, vs 273.0 points and 0.0 for Patrick Mahomes (QB, PPR).