Patrick Mahomes vs Jaxson Dart
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jaxson Dart this week: Patrick Mahomes is on bye in Week 5.
Jaxson Dart gets WAS, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 16.2 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Patrick Mahomes, and it isn't close: 15.5 points of value over replacement separate them (0.0 vs -15.5).
The draft market agrees: Patrick Mahomes goes first at ADP 104.0 vs 118.2 for Jaxson Dart.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Patrick MahomesKAN | Jaxson DartNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | Bye | WAS | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 0.0 | 16.2 | Dart +16.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | - | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 273.0 | 257.5 | Mahomes +15.5 pts |
| Points per game | 16.1 | 15.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -15.5 | Mahomes +15.5 |
| Overall rank | #71 | #93 | Mahomes by 22 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB14 | |
| Market ADP | 104.0 | 118.2 | Dart +14.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Jaxson Dart in Week 5?
Start Jaxson Dart this week: Patrick Mahomes is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Patrick Mahomes or Jaxson Dart in 2026 fantasy football?
Patrick Mahomes. He projects 273.0 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 257.5 points and -15.5 for Jaxson Dart (QB, PPR).