Head to head · QB · 2026
Jaxson Dart vs Matthew Stafford
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jaxson Dart
The model takes Jaxson Dart, and it isn't close: 16.5 points of value over replacement separate them (3.9 vs -12.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Matthew Stafford first (ADP 102.9 vs 119.8). If the model is right, Jaxson Dart is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaxson Dart | Matthew Stafford | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | NYG | LAR | |
| Overall rank | #69 | #92 | Dart by 23 |
| Position rank | QB11 | QB13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 267.1 | 250.6 | Dart +16.5 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 3.9 | -12.6 | Dart +16.5 |
| Market ADP | 119.8 | 102.9 | Dart +16.9 cheaper |
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Matthew Stafford in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 267.1 fantasy points with 3.9 value over replacement, vs 250.6 points and -12.6 for Matthew Stafford (QB, PPR).