Justin Herbert vs Jaxson Dart
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (16.2 vs 14.8).
Jaxson Dart faces WAS, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Justin Herbert faces DEN, the 29th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Justin Herbert ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Justin Herbert: a clear but modest edge of 14.5 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -14.5).
The draft market agrees: Justin Herbert goes first at ADP 103.4 vs 118.2 for Jaxson Dart.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Justin HerbertLAC | Jaxson DartNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DEN | WAS | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 14.8 | 16.2 | Dart +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #29 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 272.0 | 257.5 | Herbert +14.5 pts |
| Points per game | 16.0 | 15.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -14.5 | Herbert +14.5 |
| Overall rank | #70 | #91 | Herbert by 21 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB14 | |
| Market ADP | 103.4 | 118.2 | Dart +14.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Justin Herbert or Jaxson Dart in Week 5?
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (16.2 vs 14.8).
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Jaxson Dart in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Herbert. He projects 272.0 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 257.5 points and -14.5 for Jaxson Dart (QB, PPR).