Justin Herbert vs Jaxson Dart
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB8
Justin Herbert
278.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB11
Jaxson Dart
267.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Justin Herbert: a clear but modest edge of 11.0 points of value over replacement (14.9 vs 3.9).
The draft market agrees: Justin Herbert goes first at ADP 105.9 vs 116.4 for Jaxson Dart.
| Justin HerbertLAC | Jaxson DartNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 278.1 | 267.1 | Herbert +11.0 pts |
| Points per game | 16.4 | 15.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 14.9 | 3.9 | Herbert +11.0 |
| Overall rank | #60 | #69 | Herbert by 9 |
| Position rank | QB8 | QB11 | |
| Market ADP | 105.9 | 116.4 | Dart +10.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Jaxson Dart in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Herbert. He projects 278.1 fantasy points with 14.9 value over replacement, vs 267.1 points and 3.9 for Jaxson Dart (QB, PPR).