Head to head · QB · 2026
Bo Nix vs Jared Goff
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Bo Nix
The model takes Bo Nix: a clear but modest edge of 5.1 points of value over replacement (-22.4 vs -27.5).
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Jared Goff first (ADP 90.8 vs 116.1). If the model is right, Bo Nix is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Bo Nix carries an injury flag — Questionable (Ankle) — which is already reflected in his projection.
| Bo Nix | Jared Goff | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | DEN | DET |
| Overall rank | #106 | #109 |
| Position rank | QB16 | QB17 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 240.8 | 235.7 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.4 | -27.5 |
| Market ADP | 116.1 | 90.8 |
| Injury flag | Questionable | — |
Should I draft Bo Nix or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?
Bo Nix. He projects 240.8 fantasy points with -22.4 value over replacement, vs 235.7 points and -27.5 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).