Bo Nix vs Jared Goff

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

QB16
Bo Nix
DEN · Bye 10
240.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB17
Jared Goff
DET · Bye 6
235.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Bo Nix: a clear but modest edge of 5.0 points of value over replacement (-22.4 vs -27.5).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jared Goff first (ADP 99.8 vs 111.9). If the model is right, Bo Nix is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Bo NixDEN Jared GoffDET Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 240.8 235.7 Nix +5.0 pts
Points per game 14.2 13.9
Value over replacement (VBD) -22.4 -27.5 Nix +5.0
Overall rank #106 #109 Nix by 3
Position rank QB16 QB17
Market ADP 111.9 99.8 Nix +12.1 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 10 Rd 9
Bye week 10 6

Should I draft Bo Nix or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix. He projects 240.8 fantasy points with -22.4 value over replacement, vs 235.7 points and -27.5 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).

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