Jaxson Dart vs Kyler Murray
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (14.7 vs 13.6).
Jaxson Dart faces ARI, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Kyler Murray faces MIA, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxson Dart, and it isn't close: 41.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-13.3 vs -55.2).
The draft market agrees: Jaxson Dart goes first at ADP 118.2 vs 129.2 for Kyler Murray.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Kyler MurrayMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ARI | MIA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.7 | 13.6 | Dart +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 215.7 | Dart +41.8 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -13.3 | -55.2 | Dart +41.8 |
| Overall rank | #89 | #132 | Dart by 43 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB17 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | 129.2 | Murray +11.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Kyler Murray in Week 4?
Start Jaxson Dart this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (14.7 vs 13.6).
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Kyler Murray in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -13.3 value over replacement, vs 215.7 points and -55.2 for Kyler Murray (QB, PPR).