Head to head · QB · 2026
Brock Purdy vs Bo Nix
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Brock Purdy
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 9.7 points of value over replacement (-12.7 vs -22.4).
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 100.4 vs 116.1 for Bo Nix.
Health note: Bo Nix carries an injury flag — Questionable (Ankle) — which is already reflected in his projection.
| Brock Purdy | Bo Nix | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | SFO | DEN |
| Overall rank | #92 | #106 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB16 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.5 | 240.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.7 | -22.4 |
| Market ADP | 100.4 | 116.1 |
| Injury flag | — | Questionable |
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 250.5 fantasy points with -12.7 value over replacement, vs 240.8 points and -22.4 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR).