Brock Purdy vs Bo Nix
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB14
Brock Purdy
250.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB16
Bo Nix
240.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Brock Purdy: a clear but modest edge of 9.8 points of value over replacement (-12.7 vs -22.4).
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 88.0 vs 111.9 for Bo Nix.
| Brock PurdySFO | Bo NixDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.5 | 240.8 | Purdy +9.8 pts |
| Points per game | 14.7 | 14.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.7 | -22.4 | Purdy +9.8 |
| Overall rank | #93 | #106 | Purdy by 13 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB16 | |
| Market ADP | 88.0 | 111.9 | Nix +23.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 |
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 250.5 fantasy points with -12.7 value over replacement, vs 240.8 points and -22.4 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR).