Brock Purdy vs Fernando Mendoza
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB14
Brock Purdy
250.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB15
Fernando Mendoza
248.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brock Purdy by 2.3 points of value over replacement (-12.7 vs -15.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Brock Purdy goes first at ADP 88.0 vs 164.0 for Fernando Mendoza.
| Brock PurdySFO | Fernando MendozaLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 250.5 | 248.2 | Purdy +2.3 pts |
| Points per game | 14.7 | 14.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.7 | -15.0 | Purdy +2.3 |
| Overall rank | #93 | #97 | Purdy by 4 |
| Position rank | QB14 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 88.0 | 164.0 | Mendoza +76.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Fernando Mendoza in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Purdy. He projects 250.5 fantasy points with -12.7 value over replacement, vs 248.2 points and -15.0 for Fernando Mendoza (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.