Head to head · QB · 2026
Patrick Mahomes vs Fernando Mendoza
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Patrick Mahomes
The model takes Patrick Mahomes: a clear but modest edge of 11.4 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -11.4).
The draft market agrees: Patrick Mahomes goes first at ADP 76.0 vs 174.6 for Fernando Mendoza.
Health note: Patrick Mahomes carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Patrick Mahomes | Fernando Mendoza | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | KAN | LVR | |
| Overall rank | #72 | #84 | Mahomes by 12 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 263.2 | 251.8 | Mahomes +11.4 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -11.4 | Mahomes +11.4 |
| Market ADP | 76.0 | 174.6 | Mendoza +98.6 cheaper |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Patrick Mahomes or Fernando Mendoza in 2026 fantasy football?
Patrick Mahomes. He projects 263.2 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 251.8 points and -11.4 for Fernando Mendoza (QB, PPR).