Bryce Young vs Patrick Mahomes
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Bryce Young this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (17.6 vs 16.5).
Bryce Young faces TB, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Patrick Mahomes faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Bryce Young: a clear but modest edge of 6.7 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -6.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Patrick Mahomes first (ADP 104.0 vs 168.2). If the model is right, Bryce Young is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Bryce YoungCAR | Patrick MahomesKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | TB | SEA | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 17.6 | 16.5 | Young +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #10 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 292.9 | 286.2 | Young +6.7 pts |
| Points per game | 17.2 | 16.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -6.7 | Young +6.7 |
| Overall rank | #70 | #78 | Young by 8 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 168.2 | 104.0 | Young +64.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 5 |
Should I start Bryce Young or Patrick Mahomes in Week 7?
Start Bryce Young this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (17.6 vs 16.5).
Should I draft Bryce Young or Patrick Mahomes in 2026 fantasy football?
Bryce Young. He projects 292.9 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 286.2 points and -6.7 for Patrick Mahomes (QB, PPR).