Tyler Shough vs Bryce Young
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Tyler Shough this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (12.4 vs 10.2).
Tyler Shough faces LV, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Bryce Young faces CLE, the 20th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Shough, and it isn't close: 31.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-63.4 vs -95.2).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Shough goes first at ADP 137.8 vs 168.2 for Bryce Young.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Bryce YoungCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LV | CLE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 12.4 | 10.2 | Shough +2.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 208.5 | 176.8 | Shough +31.8 pts |
| Points per game | 12.3 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.4 | -95.2 | Shough +31.8 |
| Overall rank | #142 | #199 | Shough by 57 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB22 | |
| Market ADP | 137.8 | 168.2 | Young +30.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Should I start Tyler Shough or Bryce Young in Week 3?
Start Tyler Shough this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (12.4 vs 10.2).
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Bryce Young in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 208.5 fantasy points with -63.4 value over replacement, vs 176.8 points and -95.2 for Bryce Young (QB, PPR).