Josh Allen vs Jalen Hurts
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 6.7 projected points separate them (24.5 vs 17.8).
Josh Allen faces NE, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jalen Hurts faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close: 79.9 points of value over replacement separate them (125.6 vs 45.7).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 32.9 vs 75.9 for Jalen Hurts.
Health note: Josh Allen carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Josh AllenBUF | Jalen HurtsPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NE | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 24.5 | 17.8 | Allen +6.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #7 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 396.4 | 316.5 | Allen +79.9 pts |
| Points per game | 23.3 | 18.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 125.6 | 45.7 | Allen +79.9 |
| Overall rank | #7 | #37 | Allen by 30 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB4 | |
| Market ADP | 32.9 | 75.9 | Hurts +43.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts in Week 4?
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 6.7 projected points separate them (24.5 vs 17.8).
Should I draft Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 396.4 fantasy points with 125.6 value over replacement, vs 316.5 points and 45.7 for Jalen Hurts (QB, PPR).