Matthew Stafford vs C.J. Stroud
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans C.J. Stroud by 0.1 projected points (18.6 vs 18.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
C.J. Stroud faces CLE, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Matthew Stafford faces ARI, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Matthew Stafford ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 2.7 points of value over replacement (17.8 vs 15.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 74.2 vs 155.7 for C.J. Stroud.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | C.J. StroudHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ARI | CLE | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 18.6 | 18.6 | Stroud +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 305.3 | 302.6 | Stafford +2.7 pts |
| Points per game | 18.0 | 17.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 17.8 | 15.1 | Stafford +2.7 |
| Overall rank | #53 | #59 | Stafford by 6 |
| Position rank | QB8 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 74.2 | 155.7 | Stroud +81.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 |
Should I start Matthew Stafford or C.J. Stroud in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans C.J. Stroud by 0.1 projected points (18.6 vs 18.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or C.J. Stroud in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 305.3 fantasy points with 17.8 value over replacement, vs 302.6 points and 15.1 for C.J. Stroud (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.