Dak Prescott vs C.J. Stroud
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Dak Prescott this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (21.0 vs 18.6).
Dak Prescott faces SF, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. C.J. Stroud faces CLE, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dak Prescott: a clear but modest edge of 14.6 points of value over replacement (29.8 vs 15.1).
The draft market agrees: Dak Prescott goes first at ADP 65.3 vs 155.7 for C.J. Stroud.
| Dak PrescottDAL | C.J. StroudHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | SF | CLE | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 21.0 | 18.6 | Prescott +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #2 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 317.2 | 302.6 | Prescott +14.6 pts |
| Points per game | 18.7 | 17.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 29.8 | 15.1 | Prescott +14.6 |
| Overall rank | #43 | #59 | Prescott by 16 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 65.3 | 155.7 | Stroud +90.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start Dak Prescott or C.J. Stroud in Week 10?
Start Dak Prescott this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (21.0 vs 18.6).
Should I draft Dak Prescott or C.J. Stroud in 2026 fantasy football?
Dak Prescott. He projects 317.2 fantasy points with 29.8 value over replacement, vs 302.6 points and 15.1 for C.J. Stroud (QB, PPR).