Jared Goff vs Trevor Lawrence
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jared Goff this week: Trevor Lawrence is on bye in Week 7.
Jared Goff gets GB, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 20.4 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jared Goff: a clear but modest edge of 13.9 points of value over replacement (32.9 vs 19.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Trevor Lawrence first (ADP 91.1 vs 101.8). If the model is right, Jared Goff is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jared GoffDET | Trevor LawrenceJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | GB | Bye | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 20.4 | 0.0 | Goff +20.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #7 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 325.8 | 311.9 | Goff +13.9 pts |
| Points per game | 19.2 | 18.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 32.9 | 19.0 | Goff +13.9 |
| Overall rank | #39 | #50 | Goff by 11 |
| Position rank | QB3 | QB6 | |
| Market ADP | 101.8 | 91.1 | Goff +10.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start Jared Goff or Trevor Lawrence in Week 7?
Start Jared Goff this week: Trevor Lawrence is on bye in Week 7.
Should I draft Jared Goff or Trevor Lawrence in 2026 fantasy football?
Jared Goff. He projects 325.8 fantasy points with 32.9 value over replacement, vs 311.9 points and 19.0 for Trevor Lawrence (QB, PPR).