Jared Goff vs Jalen Hurts
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jared Goff this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (20.4 vs 18.4).
Jared Goff faces GB, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jalen Hurts faces DAL, the 20th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jared Goff: a clear but modest edge of 8.5 points of value over replacement (32.9 vs 24.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jalen Hurts first (ADP 75.9 vs 101.8). If the model is right, Jared Goff is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jalen Hurts carries an injury flag of IR (Calf), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jared GoffDET | Jalen HurtsPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | GB | DAL | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 20.4 | 18.4 | Goff +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 325.8 | 317.3 | Goff +8.5 pts |
| Points per game | 19.2 | 18.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 32.9 | 24.4 | Goff +8.5 |
| Overall rank | #39 | #47 | Goff by 8 |
| Position rank | QB3 | QB5 | |
| Market ADP | 101.8 | 75.9 | Goff +25.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Jared Goff or Jalen Hurts in Week 7?
Start Jared Goff this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (20.4 vs 18.4).
Should I draft Jared Goff or Jalen Hurts in 2026 fantasy football?
Jared Goff. He projects 325.8 fantasy points with 32.9 value over replacement, vs 317.3 points and 24.4 for Jalen Hurts (QB, PPR).