Tyler Shough vs Jordan Love
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Shough by 0.1 projected points (11.8 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Shough faces MIN, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jordan Love faces CHI, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Shough: a clear but modest edge of 12.2 points of value over replacement (-64.5 vs -76.7).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Shough goes first at ADP 137.8 vs 139.2 for Jordan Love.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Jordan LoveGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIN | CHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 11.8 | 11.8 | Shough +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #22 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 208.5 | 196.3 | Shough +12.2 pts |
| Points per game | 12.3 | 11.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -64.5 | -76.7 | Shough +12.2 |
| Overall rank | #144 | #156 | Shough by 12 |
| Position rank | QB18 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 137.8 | 139.2 | Love +1.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start Tyler Shough or Jordan Love in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Shough by 0.1 projected points (11.8 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Jordan Love in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 208.5 fantasy points with -64.5 value over replacement, vs 196.3 points and -76.7 for Jordan Love (QB, PPR).